1. Make a plan.
2. Imagine that you’ve passed the deadline and find out that the plan failed.
3. If you’re shocked in this scenario, you’re done.
4. Otherwise, simulate the most likely failure mode, defend against it, and repeat.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/N47M3JiHveHfwdbFg/hammertime-day-10-murphyjitsu